Getting to yes in Korea

Acknowledgments

Foreword / Governor Bill Richardson

1. How Korea Became Critical

A cockpit of war

A failing rogue state equipped with nuclear arms

North Korea as a possible player in a zone of peace and commerce

Axioms for foreign policy

2. How Korea Became Korea

A proud nation

Emergence in the shadow of China

Unique forms of Confucianism

Literacy

Coping with complexity

3. How Korea Became Japan

A weak government and insular culture subjugated by an expansionist Japan while America watched and did nothing

U.S. commitments to national self-determination excluding Korea and other smaller nations

4. How One Korea Became Two

Rooseveltian Realpolitik

Sacrificing Korea and the Baltics to appease Stalin and defeat the Axis

Origins of the thirty-eighth parallel

5. How North Korea Got the Bomb

North Korea's demands for nuclear science, power, and weaponry

Comradely differences and North Korea's commitment to self-reliance and the military first

6. How Kissinger and Zhou Enlai Got to Yes

Lessons from cold war détentes

GRIT

Mutual gain and openness

7. How to Get to Yes across Cultures

High-context versus low-context diplomacy

The significance of distinct cultures of diplomacy

8. How Carter and Clinton Got Closer to Yes with Pyongyang

Washington using both carrots and sticks, Track 1 and Track 2 diplomacy

Americans discovering rational and sentient humans in Pyongyang

9. How Bush and Kim Jong Il Got to Deadlock

Bush's essentialist outlook, using neither sticks nor carrots

Bush and Rice dragging their heels and then facing a nuclear-armed DPRK

10. How Ideas and Free Will Can Trump Hard Power and Fortuna

Material forces that condition but do not determine what happens

The roles of timing and coincidence

Black swans

Individual leaders who prevail over forces and fortuna

11. How to Avoid the Worst and Foster Better Futures

Alternative futures

The spectrum from global war to a security system for Northeast Asia

Lessons for diplomacy

12. How Should Obama Deal with Authoritarians?

Dangers of summitry

Utility of looking for mutual gain even with dictators

Letting professionals do the work

Experiences with the USSR and Libya

Grand bargains versus limited accords

13. How to Get to Yes in Korea?

Challenges and policy dilemmas

Human rights and/or arms control?

Trust and/or arms control?

How to fathom outliers?

What paradigms for coping with uncertainty?

What could it mean to get to yes in Korea?

From negative to positive peace?

Notes

Index

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